Macro Risk,
Quantified Daily

//@version=5
indicator("M3I War Resolution", overlay=false)

// Fetch latest from M3I API
// m3iresearch.com/api/scores.json
// Manual input — update daily from API
war_res = input.int(68, "War Resolution Score")
turb = input.int(48, "Turbulence Score")
combined = input.int(68, "Combined Resolution %")

// Plot scores as horizontal lines
hline(67, "High Zone", color=color.green, linestyle=hline.style_dashed)
hline(34, "Moderate Zone", color=color.orange, linestyle=hline.style_dashed)

plot(war_res, "War Resolution", color=color.blue, linewidth=2)
plot(turb, "Turbulence", color=color.orange, linewidth=2)
plot(combined, "Combined", color=color.green, linewidth=2)

// Background color based on risk level
bgcolor(turb > 66 ? color.new(color.red, 90) : turb > 33 ? color.new(color.orange, 95) : color.new(color.green, 95))

//@version=5
indicator("M3I Ceasefire Assessment", overlay=false)

// Update from m3iresearch.com/api/scores.json
collapse_low = input.int(35, "Collapse Low %")
collapse_high = input.int(45, "Collapse High %")
holds_low = input.int(35, "Holds Low %")
holds_high = input.int(45, "Holds High %")
permanent_low = input.int(15, "Permanent Low %")
permanent_high = input.int(20, "Permanent High %")
escalation = input.int(67, "Escalation Resumption %")

// Midpoint plots
plot((collapse_low+collapse_high)/2, "Collapse Risk", color=color.red, linewidth=2)
plot((holds_low+holds_high)/2, "Holds Then Collapses", color=color.orange, linewidth=2)
plot((permanent_low+permanent_high)/2, "Permanent Peace", color=color.green, linewidth=2)

hline(50, "50% line", color=color.gray, linestyle=hline.style_dotted)

// Escalation probability
plot(escalation, "Escalation Resumption", color=color.red, linewidth=3, style=plot.style_stepline)